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Workshop

Mathematical Models for Prediction and Control of Epidemics (Virtual Workshop) August 12, 2020 - August 14, 2020
Registration Deadline: August 14, 2020 2 months ago
Parent Program: --
Location: MSRI: Online/Virtual
Organizers Christian Borgs (University of California, Berkeley), Abba Gumel (Arizona State University), Maya Petersen (University of California, Berkeley), Amin Saberi (Stanford University), Katherine Yelick (University of California, Berkeley; Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory)
Speaker(s)

Show List of Speakers

Description
Coronavirusagain 14 5 2020 image2lr
Model of SARS-COV-2 with antibodies [Visual Science]
This workshop will be held via Zoom.  To receive the link, please register. All times listed on the schedule are Pacific Time. The workshop will bring together researchers from epidemiology, global health, and mathematics to discuss challenges in developing predictive models for epidemics as well as policies and algorithmic solutions for their control and mitigation. It will thus give the mathematical community access to some of the challenging issues and mathematical problems in the field. The workshop will start with 3-4 speakers who will present some of the models currently in use, with their virtues and shortcomings.  In the afternoon, a panel will discuss policy implications and what policy makers still need from modelers.  The second day will focus on control and mitigation strategies, touching on themes like social distancing, optimal testing, and contact tracing.  On day three, we will discuss various mathematical problems related to what we discussed on day one and two – this will be the day where speakers won’t be shy to use the words theorem and proof, or utter the sentence “Unfortunately, we don’t yet have the faintest idea how to prove this”.  We finish the day (and the workshop) with a discussion of open problems, and the role mathematics has to play in modeling and controlling epidemics.  
Keywords and Mathematics Subject Classification (MSC)
Primary Mathematics Subject Classification No Primary AMS MSC
Secondary Mathematics Subject Classification No Secondary AMS MSC
Schedule, Notes/Handouts & Videos
Show Schedule, Notes/Handouts & Videos
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Aug 12, 2020
Wednesday
08:00 AM - 09:15 AM
  Tutorial on Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of Epidemics
Abba Gumel (Arizona State University)
09:15 AM - 09:30 AM
  Break
09:30 AM - 10:00 AM
  Epidemiology and transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in two Indian states
Joseph Lewnard (University of California, Berkeley)
10:00 AM - 10:45 AM
  Overview: Epidemiological Modeling and Policy
Marc Lipsitch (Harvard University)
10:45 AM - 11:00 AM
  Break
11:00 AM - 11:30 AM
  Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics
Rosalind Eggo (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)
11:30 AM - 12:00 PM
  Real-time data fusion to guide disease forecasting models
Sara Del Valle (Los Alamos National Laboratory)
12:00 PM - 12:30 PM
  Break
12:30 PM - 02:00 PM
  Panel
Sara Del Valle (Los Alamos National Laboratory), Rosalind Eggo (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine), Abba Gumel (Arizona State University), Joseph Lewnard (University of California, Berkeley), Marc Lipsitch (Harvard University)
Aug 13, 2020
Thursday
09:00 AM - 09:30 AM
  Adaptive Designs for Epidemic Control: Test and Respond Strategies for COVID-19
Maya Petersen (University of California, Berkeley), Mark van der Laan (University of California, Berkeley)
09:30 AM - 09:45 AM
  Break
09:45 AM - 10:15 AM
  Computational Epidemiology at the time of COVID-19
Alessandro Vespignani (Northeastern University)
10:15 AM - 10:45 AM
  Break
10:45 AM - 11:15 AM
  Bayesian Approaches to the heterogeneity in the Covid-19 original R_0 coefficient
Susan Holmes (Stanford University)
11:15 AM - 11:30 AM
  Break
11:30 AM - 12:00 PM
  COVID-19 Data Repository and County-level Death Count Prediction in the US
Bin Yu (University of California, Berkeley)
12:00 PM - 12:30 PM
  Break
12:30 PM - 02:00 PM
  Panel
Susan Athey (Stanford University), Elamin Elbasha (Merck Inc.), Marc Fleaurbaey (Princeton University), Matthew Jackson (Stanford University), Ali Jadbabaie (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Maya Petersen (University of California, Berkeley)
Aug 14, 2020
Friday
09:00 AM - 10:00 AM
  Introduction to the Mathematics of Epidemics on Networks
Rick Durrett (Duke University)
10:00 AM - 10:30 AM
  Break
10:30 AM - 11:00 AM
  A stochastic SIR model on a random network with given vertex degrees
Svante Janson (Uppsala University)
11:00 AM - 11:30 AM
  Break
11:30 AM - 12:00 PM
  Modeling to Mitigate the COVID-19 Pandemic
Lauren Ancel Meyers (University of Texas at Austin)
12:00 PM - 12:30 PM
  Break
12:30 PM - 02:00 PM
  Panel
Rick Durrett (Duke University), Lauren Ancel Meyers (University of Texas at Austin), Jacob Steinhardt (University of California, Berkeley), Vanessa Vargas (Sandia National Laboratories), Katherine Yelick (University of California, Berkeley; Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory)